https://aifaultline.com/authors/joseph-briggs/New papers by Joseph Briggs in the AI Fault Line guide, and news naming them. https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-5d84297ca034e372/https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-5d84297ca034e372/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000This widely circulated Goldman Sachs research note estimates that generative AI could eventually raise global GDP by roughly 7% (about $7 trillion) over a 10-year period and lift annual productivity growth by around 1.5 percentage points, while exposing roughly two-thirds of current U.S. jobs to some degree of AI automation. As one of the most-cited 'optimistic' macro estimates in the public debate, it is frequently contrasted with more conservative academic estimates such as Acemoglu's.