https://aifaultline.com/authors/kevin-a-bryan/New papers by Kevin A. Bryan in the AI Fault Line guide, and news naming them. https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-1291a6248b6de2d6/https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-1291a6248b6de2d6/Sun, 15 Mar 2026 00:00:00 +0000The authors survey five groups (academic economists, AI company staff, AI policy researchers, top forecasters and the public) on how AI will affect the US economy. The median respondent in each group expects annual GDP growth of 2.5% and small declines in labor force participation; under a rapid-progress scenario, experts expect growth near 4% and participation falling to 55% by 2050, about half of it attributed to AI.