https://aifaultline.com/authors/martin-neil-baily/New papers by Martin Neil Baily in the AI Fault Line guide, and news naming them. https://aifaultline.com/research/p/doi-10-1257-pandp-20261034/https://aifaultline.com/research/p/doi-10-1257-pandp-20261034/Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-69fa922e0c6f92ed/https://aifaultline.com/research/p/title-69fa922e0c6f92ed/Wed, 10 May 2023 00:00:00 +0000The authors argue that generative AI could drive a productivity boom and illustrate it with projections: one where AI raises the level of productivity and output by an additional 18% over ten years, and another that adds a one-percentage-point boost to the growth rate from AI-triggered innovation.