https://aifaultline.com/authors/richard-c-korzekwa/New papers by Richard C. Korzekwa in the AI Fault Line guide, and news naming them. https://aifaultline.com/research/p/doi-10-1613-jair-1-19087/https://aifaultline.com/research/p/doi-10-1613-jair-1-19087/Mon, 06 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000A survey of 2,778 researchers who published in top AI venues in October 2023 put a 50% chance on machines outperforming humans at every task by 2047, 13 years earlier than the 2022 survey. Full automation of all occupations was not expected to reach 50% probability until 2116, and most respondents expressed substantial uncertainty about long-term impacts.