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The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?

Carl Benedikt Frey, Michael A. Osborne · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 1 Oct 2016

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Where this sits in the debate

Direction of the finding as read from the abstract by an AI model (AI-written).

Key takeaway AI-written

Frey and Osborne estimate how likely 702 US occupations are to be computerised, using expert judgements of which tasks machines can do. They classify about 47% of US employment as at high risk of automation over an unspecified number of years, a widely cited estimate of exposure rather than of jobs actually lost.

About this publication

Academic journal. Published in an academic journal — typically peer-reviewed before publication, though indexing alone doesn't guarantee review depth.

Published
2016 (122 months ago)
Citations
8667 (OpenAlex)

8667 citations recorded by OpenAlex — too few 2016 papers in this collection for a fair comparison.

20162017201820192020202120222023202420252026 published

□ added to this collection in 2026.

author affiliation matches seed institutions oxford university, university of oxford — part of why this paper is in the collection.

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