Generative AI: What Type of Technology?
Martin Neil Baily, David M. Byrne, Aidan T. Kane, Paul E. Soto · AEA Papers and Proceedings · 1 May 2026
Where this sits in the debate
- Will AI actually boost productivity and growth? · its finding supports the claim (why studies differ)
- How fast will the impact arrive?
Direction of the finding as read from the abstract by an AI model (AI-written).
Abstract
The economic effects of generative AI (genAI) will depend on the type of technology it ultimately represents. The impact on productivity growth of discrete innovations, such as the light bulb, fades when the market saturates. General-purpose technologies (GPTs), such as the electric dynamo, affect growth over longer horizons through knock-on innovations that enable additional applications. Inventions in the method of invention (IMIs) fuel growth through new ideas that translate into productivity gains. Emerging evidence indicates that genAI is both a GPT and an IMI and, thus, can be expected to have a sustained positive impact on productivity.
About this publication
Ranked journal. A peer-reviewed journal in the RePEc ranking of economics journals, below the leading ones.
Placed by: RePEc journal ranking. How sources are ranked.
- Published
- 2026 (6 months ago)
- Citations
- 0 (OpenAlex)
0 citations recorded by OpenAlex — too few 2026 papers in this collection for a fair comparison.
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