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Large Language Models, Small Labor Market Effects

Anders Humlum, Emilie Vestergaard · NBER Working Paper 33777 · 25 Apr 2025

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Humlum and Vestergaard link surveys on AI chatbot use to Danish administrative records for 25,000 workers in 11 exposed occupations. Despite fast adoption and reported time savings, they find no significant effects on earnings or recorded hours in any occupation two years after ChatGPT's release, ruling out effects larger than 1%.

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Industry report. An industry or consultancy report — produced outside academic peer review.

Published
2025 (18 months ago)
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Anders Humlum signed the wemustactnow.ai letter — part of why this paper is in the collection.

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