Organizing Intelligence
Alex Imas, Andrew Koh, Shane Legg · Google DeepMind · 29 Oct 2026
Where this sits in the debate
- Will AI destroy more jobs than it creates? · its finding: it depends (why studies differ)
- Will AI widen inequality? · its finding: it depends (why studies differ)
- How fast will the impact arrive? · its finding: it depends (why studies differ)
Direction of the finding as read from the abstract by an AI model (AI-written).
Key takeaway AI-written
A theoretical model of how humans and AI agents sort into competing firms, separating competence (which raises productivity levels) from coordination (which sets how productivity scales with firm size). It finds that teams of complementary humans can beat more capable AI, that better AI competence can shrink firms, and that better AI coordination can trigger a sudden shift to large AI-heavy firms, with wage effects split into a technology effect and a reorganization effect that can reverse it.
The paper in three steps AI-written
Written by an AI agent from the paper's abstract, which is the primary source and is quoted below.
How to read it: theory. A theoretical model — its value is the mechanism it isolates; ask whether the assumptions fit the real economy.
Limitations and counterpoints AI-written
A theoretical model; results follow from its assumptions about capability profiles and coordination and are not estimated from economic data.
Source excerpt
When will advances in AI lead to economic transformation? We develop a model of how intelligence, the ability to achieve goals, matters for organizations, the key unit of economic production. Agents (human or AI) with multidimensional capabilities sort endogenously into competing firms. A firm's productivity depends on its agents' capabilities; we distinguish competence, which shifts productivity levels, from coordination, which governs how productivity scales with size. Two differences between AI and humans drive transformation: AI expertise is reproducible while humans' are in fixed supply, and AIs may not face the same limits for coordination as humans. We analyze how equilibrium market structure, productivity, employment, and wages evolve as AI capabilities improve. When AI is more capable than the average human, organizations of complementary humans can nonetheless outperform AI. Increases in AI competence can change the composition of workers within firms and decrease firm size. As AI coordination improves, however, this can break the Coasean ceiling on firm size and the market structure undergoes a phase transition toward large, concentrated AI-heavy firms. Changes in human employment are gradual when AI displaces workers within mixed human-AI firms, or sudden when AI firms outcompete human firms. We decompose wage changes into a technology effect, which changes the value of humans within existing firms, and a reorganization effect as firms adjust size and composition. Reorganization can reverse the technology effect on wages.
About this publication
Industry report. An industry or consultancy report — produced outside academic peer review.
- Published
- 2026 (recently)
- Citations
- Not recorded for this source
Alex Imas, Andrew Koh signed the wemustactnow.ai letter — part of why this paper is in the collection.
Related by theme, not necessarily by method or conclusion.
- The Effects of Generative AI on High Skilled Work: Evidence from Three Field Experiments with Software Developers
SSRN · 2024 - GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models
arXiv · 2023 - Experimental evidence on the productivity effects of generative artificial intelligence
Science · 2023 - The simple macroeconomics of AI
Economic Policy · 2024
Overview assembled automatically from collected metadata. How this site is built.