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Researchers

Jakub Growiec

Economist, SGH Warsaw School of Economics
Signed the letter · Academia · Poland

homepage · scholar

Professor in the Department of Quantitative Economics at SGH Warsaw School of Economics and economic advisor at Narodowy Bank Polski. Member of the European Commission's AI Act Scientific Panel and of the CEPR Research and Policy Network on Artificial Intelligence. Author of work on long-run growth, automation, and transformative AI, including 'Existential risk from transformative AI: an economic perspective' and the hardware–software model of production, R&D, and growth. Signed the wemustactnow.ai open letter.

AI-written Documented facts only, from the sources below.

20 works in the co-authorship map · 390 citations across them

Sources

  1. Jakub Growiec — SGH Warsaw School of Economics homepage
  2. Existential risk from transformative AI: an economic perspective
  3. The Hardware–Software Model: A New Conceptual Framework of Production, R&D, and Growth with AI
  4. “Signed the wemustactnow.ai open letter” — source

In the network

3 co-authors on the map · PageRank #168 of 400 · bridge #17 of 400 · 3 steps from Erik Brynjolfsson · cluster: Automation, growth and robot taxes.

Measured on this map only, which grows out of the letter's signatories; what these numbers mean. See Jakub Growiec on the map

Documented positions

Will AI actually boost productivity and growth? leans agree

His growth-theory work models AI as a factor that can raise long-run growth, and argues transformative AI would either strongly accelerate growth or end it through existential catastrophe.

Evidence

  1. Existential risk from transformative AI: an economic perspective
  2. The Hardware–Software Model: A New Conceptual Framework of Production, R&D, and Growth with AI

Why researchers disagree on this · Who else says what

Will AI destroy more jobs than it creates? it's complicated

His models find partial automation of complex tasks raises demand for human work in the remaining sub-tasks, while full automation lowers it; he links a shift of cognitive workers into manual jobs to AI becoming capable across cognitive tasks.

Evidence

  1. AUTOMATION, PARTIAL AND FULL
  2. Workers' Incentives and the Optimal Taxation of AI

Why researchers disagree on this · Who else says what

Will AI widen inequality? unknown

No documented evidence reviewed yet.

Should governments act on AI now? agrees

Argues the existential risk from transformative AI calls for more public funding of AI safety research and stronger AI regulation, ideally coordinated globally.

Evidence

  1. Existential risk from transformative AI: an economic perspective

Why researchers disagree on this · Who else says what

How fast will the impact arrive? leans disagree

Estimates that transformative AI will most likely be developed within one to four decades, a horizon mostly longer than about a decade.

Evidence

  1. Existential risk from transformative AI: an economic perspective

Why researchers disagree on this · Who else says what

Selected work

Writes with

Katarzyna Growiec (4), Klaus Prettner (2), Peter McAdam (1)

Co-authors on the map, by papers written together (3 of 3 shown).

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