Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
Leopold Aschenbrenner · Essay series · 4 Jun 2024
Where this sits in the debate
- Will AI actually boost productivity and growth? · its finding supports the claim (why studies differ)
- How fast will the impact arrive? · its finding supports the claim (why studies differ)
Direction of the finding as read from the abstract by an AI model (AI-written).
Source excerpt
We could see economic growth rates of 30%/year and beyond, quite possibly multiple doublings a year. This follows fairly straightforwardly from economists’ models of economic growth.
About this publication
Industry report. An industry or consultancy report — produced outside academic peer review.
- Published
- 2024 (29 months ago)
- Citations
- Not recorded for this source
□ added to this collection in 2026.
Related by theme, not necessarily by method or conclusion.
- A Research Agenda for the Economics of Transformative AI
Communications of the ACM · 2026 - The Potentially Large Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Economic Growth
Goldman Sachs · 2023 - Macroeconomic productivity gains from Artificial Intelligence in G7 economies
OECD · 2025 - Generative AI in Business Analytics: Opportunities and Risks for National Economic Growth
Journal of Computer Science and Technology Studies · 2026
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